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<Econ> Philippines Apr CPI Surges 7.2% YoY, Far Exceeding Expectations; Analysts See Rising Rate Hike Pressure in Jun
The Philippine Statistics Authority announced that, driven by a sharp 21% surge in transport prices, the Philippines' Consumer Price Index (CPI) growth accelerated to 7.2% YoY in A...
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<Econ> Philippines Apr CPI Surges 7.2% YoY, Far Exceeding Expectations; Analysts See Rising Rate Hike Pressure in Jun
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The Philippine Statistics Authority announced that, driven by a sharp 21% surge in transport prices, the Philippines' Consumer Price Index (CPI) growth accelerated to 7.2% YoY in April, far exceeding market expectations and the central banks forecast range of 5.6% to 6.4%. The previous reading showed a 4.1% increase. On a MoM basis, the Philippines' CPI rose 2.6% in April, the highest since January 2000.

According to Bloomberg, analysts expect the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas may need to raise interest rates at a more aggressive pace to contain inflationary pressures triggered by the Middle East conflict. The central bank raised rates by 25 bps to 4.5% last month and will hold its next policy meeting in June.

Emilio Neri Jr., Chief Economist at Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI), said an emergency rate hike between scheduled meetings cannot be ruled out. He added that the central bank could implement rate hikes of more than 25 bps at regular or emergency meetings. He noted that when policymakers convene in June, May inflation data will already be available, and CPI could reach as high as 8% or even 9%. If the policy rate remains below 6%, it would be very awkward.

The Philippine peso slipped 0.15% during the Asian session to 61.6540 per USD1, approaching its historical trough of 61.75. Since the outbreak of the Iran conflict in late February, the peso has been one of the worst-performing currencies in Asia. (da/w)~

This article was automatically translated by AI, the Chinese version should be considered the authoritative version. AASTOCKS.com Limited does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness and accepts no liability for any damages or losses arising from the use of this translation.

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